Here is our review of the Second Quarter of 2021. If you have any questions or would like a review of your portfolio and financial plan, contact our advisors by calling or emailing us at 517-321-4832 or email@example.com.
2Q 2021 Broad Markets
The market has continued to climb through the middle of 2021 as the economic recovery from the Covid shut-downs continues. This
market growth has been set against a backdrop of worry that looks much the same as it did last quarter: We are not clear of Covid 19 yet
as the new Delta variant continues to cause concern, and shortly after the end of the quarter fears of renewed shutdowns led to market
volatility. We’re not past the pandemic’s grip just yet. On the other hand, we have not seen a significant market pullback in some time.
Historically, the average year contains four or five market drops of 5%, and we’ve yet to see that level of fear in 2021.
US and international stocks, real estate, and commodities were all strongly positive for the second quarter. The bond market recovered
from the price drops of the first quarter as inflation concerns stabilized. In the US, large growth companies regained their leadership, after
two quarters of lagging behind value stocks and smaller companies.
The Good News
- Global economic activity continues to ramp up as vaccination rates climb rapidly in developed countries and more vaccines are sent to emerging ones.
- Above-average economic growth, pricing power amid persistent shortages, additional fiscal measures, and suppressed interest-rate levels provide the perfect backdrop for equity market performance.
- SEI remains optimistic that the more cyclical and value-oriented sectors and geographies will bounce back from their modest stumble in June.
- Although investors are concerned that the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy sooner than expected, equities still tend to do well in the year following the first rate hike.
- The virus continues to evolve, forcing countries and regions into disruptive lockdowns. The waves of economic recovery that will likely be experienced around the world could resemble an extended up-cycle that keeps the pressure on supply chains.
- Total credit growth in China has turned negative, and the economic surprises have been on the downside recently. This could be bad news for commodities and emerging markets, but we are counting on the advanced economies to take up the slack.
- Aggressive government policy responses staved off a more serious economic downturn, but they have encouraged excessive risk-taking in financial assets.
Where do we go from here?
While most indicators point toward a continued solid economic recovery, it is difficult to tell how much good news is already built into the price of stocks. If that is the case, any negative news – either virus related or economic headlines – will no doubt lead to turbulence, at least in the short – term. As always, the answer is to remain diversified and patient.
The financial advisors at Shotwell Rutter Baer work with many clients to maximize their retirement plan benefits and abilities. If you would like to find if there is more you can do with your plan, give us a call at 517-321-4832.
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